Betting the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager

Betting the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager
Photo: NYRA Photo

The sixth Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager will be offered as a one-time opportunity to pick the sire of the 2021 winner of the Run for the Roses.

There are 23 individual sires offered to bettors along with the mutuel field option known as #24 “All Other Sires.” Offspring sired by Into Mischief and Tapit were made the co-individual favorites at 6-1 on the morning line. The overall favorite is the “All Other Sires” betting interest, which was made 9-2.

[RELATED: Derby Future Wager sires: Meet the top progeny]

The KDFSW opens Thursday at noon and will close Sunday at 6 p.m. ET.

Here are five keys to help with your KDSFW wagers.

1) In all five of the prior KDSFW bets, the winning sire was one of the individual betting interests.

2) In four out of five years, the KDSFW victor paid more on a $2 future win wager than his son returned on Derby day.

2020: Into Mischief - $36.20, Authentic - $18.80

2018: Scat Daddy - $54.80, Justify - $7.80*

2017: Bodemeister - $63.60, Always Dreaming - $11.40*

2016: Uncle Mo - $20.20, Nyquist - $6.60*

Keep in mind that in some of those years, the victorious sire might have been represented by more than one horse when the wager was made.

3) Since 2010, a different stallion has sired the winner of the Derby every year.

2020: Into Mischief

2019: Lookin At Lucky

2018: Scat Daddy

2017: Bodemeister

2016: Uncle Mo

2015: Pioneerof the Nile

2014: Lucky Pulpit

2013: Malibu Moon

2012: Flower Alley

2011: Leroidesanimaux

2010: Maria’s Mon

4) Tapit was the favored individual betting interest at 7-1 in 2017 and 6-1 in 2019.

Frequently the leading sire in North America, Tapit has yet to sire the winner of the Kentucky Derby. Sons of Tapit tend to be headstrong and immature as juveniles and well into their 3-year-old campaigns.

This could be the year all that changes because the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner and likely 2-Year-Old Champion Essential Quality is by Tapit.

5) Two sires on the list are represented in Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool 1 by multiple horses.

Dialed In: Get Her Number, Super Stock

Into Mischief: Highly Motivated, Life is Good, Scarred

Meet Matt Shifman

Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011 and currently is a Senior Writer. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs, Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing

Matt has been a co-host of the popular weekly video show HorseCenter for many years.

Since 2012, Matt has been a voter in the NTRA weekly polls for the Top Thoroughbred and Top Three-Year-Old.

Matt is also a partner in the New York Hot List handicapping service @NYHotList where he handicaps the races on the NYRA circuit everyday. The Hot List picks are available at several ADW sites around the country.

You may also know Matt by his Twitter, Facebook, and HRN screen nameAndyScoggin.

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